Stopping a stop loss
Q:
At the age of 63, I am in the process of winding down my small business and I have transferred my pension funds into a SIPP. After taking the maximum permitted tax-free lump sum, I have a fund value of around £150,000, which I have invested in a portfolio of ten investment trusts via an execution-only dealing service – and the help of What Investment!
I have no complaints at the moment about the investments I have made, but, with the possibility of a market correction looming, I am aware that I need to organise an exit strategy, in case the stock market dives.
I have, therefore, put stop loss orders on eight of the trusts I hold, but the dealing service I use says that it cannot accept stop loss orders on two of the trusts I hold, as the sale would be too big for the market. Also, their stop loss only kicks in at my cushion sale price, which is currently 25 per cent below the price I paid for the shares, plus ten per cent. In other words, if the market lost 40 per cent overnight, my investments would not be sold.
Do you have any recommendations for an exit strategy, or for formulae for calculating when to unload investments. For example, when the p/e gets to unrealistic levels? And if the market does suddenly lurch downward, what form of investment – possibly something like a high-interest account – can I use for my pension fund?
David Collins, Bristol
A:
The standard advice that is generally given to investors in this sort of situation is to make sure that their pension fund is invested in a portfolio that contains a broad range of assets, including cash, fixed-interest, property and equity funds.
This is to ensure that the capital value of their fund is maintained while it also generates a, hopefully rising, level of income. Equity investments generally form the core of such strategies, since shares tend to appreciate in value over time and therefore generally give the best prospects for appreciation of capital.
But we all know that there are periods when share prices fall, which is why some diversification is necessary, and while you are happy with the choices you have made from an investment perspective, it would be a good idea to review your portfolio strategy with a qualified independent financial adviser who could suggest the most appropriate asset allocation balance for your circumstances.
It would certainly seem prudent to have at least part of your portfolio in cash as a “buffer” against a market downturn, possibly in the sort of high-interest account you mention or a money market fund – and this sort of strategy can be set up relatively easily within the flexible framework of a SIPP.
Currently, it would appear that all of your retirement fund is invested in equity funds, which you are trying to protect against a downward move in the market through the use of stop losses.
This is generally a prudent approach, but your experience illustrates that it is not necessarily watertight. The success of a stop loss depends, to some extent, on the liquidity of the shares concerned and your experience highlights the fact that some investment trust shares can be relatively illiquid.
Many, particularly the more specialist investment trusts, are small (i.e. less than £50 million market cap), and have relatively low turnover in their shares. This can be an advantage to private investors who want to buy into certain trusts as they can often pick up small parcels of shares that would be unattractive to institutional investors. But the downside is that you can’t always sell when you want to, at the price you want you, and this is something to bear in mind when assessing which investment trust shares you wish to hold.
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Stopping the losses
13 September 2008 [0 comments]Q:
I have a small portfolio of investment trusts, which I trade fairly actively. I do use some charting to help stock purchase timing, but I’m having trouble determining a satisfactory ‘stop-loss’ strategy. I have set ‘trailing stop-losses’ but seem to either sell too early as a result of a small perturbation or sell at, or very close to, the bottom of a larger correction. Is there any technique I should be using? Any suggestions would be very much appreciated.
P Perry,
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