Forex
Currency outlook: 31 August 2010
Eric Viloria, 31 August 2010
Risk aversion continued overnight as Asian stock markets traded lower.
The Nikkei 225 plunged by 3.55 per cent experiencing its largest percent drop since early June as investors fear that a stronger yen will hurt the export-driven economy. The US dollar traded mostly mixed, the yen remained at elevated levels, and the Swiss franc (CHF) was the most notable having outperformed the safe haven currencies. €/CHF fell to new records lows touching just under 1.2900 and US$/CHF is nearing 2010 lows on a strengthening franc. US$/CHF has so far made session lows around 1.0175.
Japanese economic data came in stronger than expected last night. July preliminary industrial production was expected at -0.2 per cent but rose by 0.3 per cent up from the prior -1.1 per cent, July retail trade also printed better than expected at 0.7 per cent, and July housing starts surprised to the upside with a reading of 4.3 per cent. The positive economic data further supported the yen. US$/Yen declined to around 84.05 from session highs around 84.65 and has settled around current levels of 84.40.
As of now, European equities are trading lower across the board. Month-end flows and the heavy economic data stream today is likely to make for a volatile trading environment.
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