Share Dealing
US comes out of recession
Clara Tracey, 29 October 2009
The world’s largest economy has exited recession, showing annualised growth for the third quarter of 3.5% according to data reported today. The figures are stronger than market expectations, in sharp contrast to the UK’s worse than expected figures last week.
While the news signals the end of the worst recession in 70 years, questions will be asked as to whether this is a statistical recovery or whether it is in fact the start of a meaningful and sustained upturn. The latter seems less likely when the vast government stimulus measures are factored in.
Duncan Higgins, senior analyst at Caxton FX comments : "President Barack Obama has injected $787 billion (£480bn) into the economy and on top of that has been the "cars for clunkers" scheme, which had a significant impact on automobile sales. Concern will now linger over whether the US economy will be able to sustain this level of growth as the government begins to unwind these stimulus packages."
Indeed, following the termination of the car scrappage scheme back in August, car manufacturers have already reported a drop in sales. This is particularly worrying given that without auto output, the economy would have expanded at only a 1.9 percent rate in the third quarter.
Higgins continues, saying, "US unemployment is still stubbornly on the rise, currently hovering just below 10%. For those out of jobs, exiting the recession will provide little comfort."Other data this week has already raised questions about the longevity of this recovery, with consumer confidence dipping to recessionary levels and new home sales falling unexpectedly.
In response to the news, stock markets lifted around the world. Prices for U.S government debt and the US dollar fell as traders looked to riskier, higher yielding assets, prolonging a recent rally based on increasing risk appetite.
Advertisement
Free Magazine: How To Invest For Income
Free Magazine: How To Invest For Income In this free edition of MarketViews, Peter Temple highlights key features that can make income-based investing generate such good results. Get your free copy here
Free Guide: 8 Common Trading Indicators
Get this free guide to find out how to use technical indicators to give you a sense of what the market will do next. Get your free copy here.
No hassle and no admin fees. Open an account now with The Share Centre. Find out more.
A free guide to Gold Investment
Physical Gold protects against global economic downturn by providing crucial portfolio balance. You can buy gold bars for your UK pension and receive up to 40% price discount via tax relief. Buy tax-free gold coins as an alternative to poor interest rates. Find out more and download this free guide to gold investment.
The TaxGuide.co.uk has a wealth of tips and advice from working out your tax bill, through to the latest personal tax rules. Get your personal tax tips today.
FREE Report: Inside Investment Trusts
Written by the team behind What Investment, this exclusive FREE report covers:
- Why Investment Trusts are better than Unit Trusts
- How new legislation is broadening the appeal of Investment Trusts
- Where to look for buying opportunities
- Why now is the time to buy Investment Trusts
- The Investment Trusts to invest in at the moment


Comments
Please register or login to comment on this article.